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The Yemeni front has been the cornerstone that has shaken the thrones of tyranny and shattered the illusions of American-Zionist hegemony. From the very first moment Yemen declared its entry into the confrontation in support of Iran and the Resistance, all equations were turned upside down. The Yemenis, with their faith-based wisdom and penetrating insight, thwarted plans that nearly ignited the region.
Perhaps the most prominent and impactful of these achievements is the Yemeni armed forces' success in forcing the American-Israeli enemy to abandon the idea of using the Red Sea as a launching pad for its aggression against Iran. Yemen was clear and decisive from the outset, issuing an unequivocal warning: if any enemy attempts to use the Red Sea to attack Iran, the Bab al-Mandab Strait will be closed to America and Israel. This closure—as the world's leading strategists understand—means crippling the American fleet and making it extremely difficult for American or European forces to reach the Arabian Sea and the Gulf, thus hindering any military operations aimed at attacking the Islamic Republic. Thus, thanks to this firm Yemeni threat, the enemy did not dare to use the Red Sea throughout the escalation period, and this vital waterway became completely out of the Pentagon's calculations.
US and Israeli Concern Over Yemeni Escalation
The Israeli newspaper Yediot Aharonot revealed the strategic military dimension of this astute Yemeni decision, noting that the Yemeni armed forces succeeded in preventing the passage of two US aircraft carriers through the Red Sea and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait should President Donald Trump decide to open the Strait of Hormuz or launch a large-scale operation in the Gulf region. The newspaper added that the Pentagon had announced that the aircraft carrier USS George H.W. Bush was en route to the Mediterranean with its strike group of three destroyers, while the aircraft carrier USS Gerald R. Ford was undergoing urgent maintenance. However, the Yemeni threat disrupted all these arrangements. What is most alarming in the Israeli analysis is their acknowledgment that the Yemenis possess the capability to threaten aircraft carriers with their anti-ship missiles, drones, and explosive-laden speedboats, and even to completely close the Bab el-Mandeb Strait—a terrifying scenario for Western naval powers.
The concerns weren't confined to the Hebrew press; they extended to the most prestigious Western research institutions. The Times quoted Thomas Juneau, a professor at the University of Ottawa and a fellow at Chatham House, as saying that the Yemenis' decision to attack ships again would completely alter the balance of power. He argued that they would have a far greater impact on the course of the war than direct missile strikes if they began closing the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. Juneau added that this scenario would amplify the war's already significant effects on oil and natural gas prices and the global economy, placing immense pressure on the Trump administration, which was already facing economic challenges stemming from Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Thus, Yemen has become a global player that cannot be ignored.
Economic Consequences and Halting Military Escalation
The economic aspect proved most painful for the enemy and most surprising to analysts. The Israeli economic newspaper "Calcalist" published an analysis confirming that Israel's most sensitive vulnerability is falling into the "Red Sea trap" and the direct repercussions this would have on the Israeli economy. The newspaper argued that the dramatic Yemeni involvement in this war brings to the forefront the dilemma of economic fluctuations that would affect the global economy, and the Israeli economy in particular, if the battle were to be taken to the Red Sea.
It warned that the economic repercussions of the Yemenis’ declaration had begun to accumulate even “before the interception” of the first missile launched from Yemen towards the Negev, noting that Saudi Arabia’s attempts to escape with giant oil tankers and circumvent the Strait of Hormuz via the port of Yanbu on the Red Sea coast would become futile if the Yemenis decided to close Bab al-Mandab. This would represent a fatal blow to energy supplies, not only for the Israeli enemy, but for many countries on every continent of the world. Thus, Yemen was able to curb the American-Israeli recklessness and their further rush towards escalating aggression against Iran.
Foiling the Expansion of Aggression Against Iran
The Yemeni achievement was not limited to the military and economic spheres, but extended to the political and diplomatic arena through a tremendous strategic accomplishment: neutralizing the Gulf states and preventing them from joining the American-Israeli alliance against Iran. Yemen declared—clearly—that any expansion of the alliance against Iran would be met with military escalation and the use of the Red Sea, meaning targeting the oil tankers of any country that dared to join this ill-fated alliance. This strong and decisive message caused the Gulf states to reconsider any thought of direct involvement in the war, preferring not to risk their vital oil interests that pass through Bab al-Mandab. Thus, Yemen thwarted an American plan that aimed to form a broad regional alliance against Iran, leaving the American-Israeli enemy alone to face a complex and seemingly unsolvable equation.
The Yemeni Experience and Its Impact on the US-Israeli Economy
Following the US-Israeli aggression against Iran on November 28, a growing sense of anxiety emerged in Israeli analytical discourse—both among experts and in the Hebrew media—regarding the possibility of the confrontation expanding to include the Yemeni front in particular. These analyses focused on the potential repercussions of such a scenario on the Israeli security establishment, especially given what the Israeli enemy considers a strategic threat: the activation of "unity of fronts." This is viewed as one of the most dangerous military tactics, capable of exhausting Israel's defensive capabilities through multiple, simultaneous fronts. Since the outbreak of the Al-Aqsa Flood battle, the Israeli enemy has sought to contain this threat and prevent its realization by all means. However, Yemen's declaration of its direct entry into the confrontation represented a qualitative shift in the course of events. This shift was manifested in the execution of ballistic missile attacks targeting sensitive sites in southern occupied territories, reaching as far as Tel Aviv, which contributed to a significant escalation in the level of anxiety within Israeli circles.The brilliance of the Yemeni achievement was evident in its ability to capitalize on the experience gained during the Gaza support war of the past two years. Sana'a engaged in a direct confrontation with the Israeli-American enemy, demonstrating a clear economic dimension to the conflict that transcended the traditional military framework. This confrontation focused on two main axes:
The first was the naval blockade, which involved prohibiting Israeli shipping in the Red and Arabian Seas. This led to a complete paralysis of the port of Eilat and its declaration of bankruptcy, in addition to direct repercussions on commodity prices within Israel.
The second axis was the imposition of a partial embargo on Israeli air traffic through targeting airports with missiles and drones. This contributed to a near-total paralysis of air traffic and inflicted heavy economic losses on the Israeli enemy. The renewed involvement of the Yemeni front in the escalation effectively means the reactivation of the same economic pressure tactics. This has prompted the aggressor forces to seek a truce through Pakistan, fearing a powerful and effective Iranian response, as well as the consequences of the resolute Yemeni stance. The Israeli newspaper Calcalist, in an extensive analysis, warned that the Yemenis' declaration of their involvement in the conflict has once again highlighted structural weaknesses in the global economy. The writer, Doron Peskin, explained that the Red Sea is once again being viewed as a high-risk passage for shipping and insurance companies. He pointed out that the Yemenis' true strength lies not in their ability to completely close the strait, but in creating what is known as a "risk premium," which compels companies to reassess their routes, leading to disruptions in trade. The analysis added that Sana'a's entry into the conflict has transformed the concern from a temporary operational disruption to a long-term structural disruption in supply chains between Asia and Europe, reflecting the shift of the impact from a local to a global scale. The analysis linked the Bab el-Mandeb Strait and the Strait of Hormuz as strategic pressure points. The former represents a lever for influencing the movement of containers and goods, while the latter exerts pressure on energy markets. The simultaneous threat in both areas—even without a complete closure of either—is expected to result in escalating inflationary pressures globally.
Israeli Channel 12 went even further in its report, asserting that the escalation in the Red Sea and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait "threatens the lifeline of the global economy." It explained that the escalation forces shipping companies to alter their routes, leading to supply delays and price hikes, as well as widespread concern among global financial institutions. The report highlighted the strategic importance of the Red Sea as a key transit route for oil and liquefied natural gas from the Gulf region to European and American markets, noting that any security disruption along this route has immediate repercussions on global energy prices. Similarly, Axios pointed out that the Yemeni involvement in the conflict is not solely about supporting Iran and the "axis of resistance," but could exacerbate the energy and shipping crises already linked to tensions in the Strait of Hormuz. The report indicated that the initial Yemeni attacks triggered immediate market movements, with crude oil prices soaring to over $116 per barrel, reflecting the markets' sensitivity to any escalation in the region.
What can be gleaned from all these data and analyses—both Israeli and Western—is that the Yemeni front represented a complex strategic challenge that was difficult to contain or defeat. Despite Israeli, American, and British airstrikes over the past two years, these attacks did not have a decisive impact on the course of Yemeni military operations, as Yemeni forces continued to escalate in successive phases, reflecting a remarkable ability to adapt and develop their counterterrorism capabilities.
