Ansarollah Website | Report: Wadia Al-Abasi
Saudi Arabia continues to live under the illusion of being capable of achieving deterrence in Yemen. Its bloodthirsty inclination to kill children, women, and civilians, and to target populated places, portrays to it that the attacks it carries out and the "extraordinary achievements" in committing massacres will bring it closer to achieving victory.
When it thunders and threatens, it relies solely on this behavior of targeting civilian objects and drowning innocent people in a tragic reality. However, it fails to realize that everything it has done over twelve years using this lethal methodology has brought it no gain. Instead, it has placed it in the crosshairs of strikes by Yemeni Armed Forces. Furthermore, the continuation of its aggressive conduct has failed to achieve any breakthrough in lifting the blockade on its maritime navigation, preventing attacks on its vital facilities, or avoiding entry into an economic predicament whose consequences will inevitably appear in the reality of its society and development plans.
Gap between Rhetoric and Field Reality
The tone of warning and claims of being able to translate threats into action was reiterated last week by Bin Salman as part of what was named "Royal Speech." Observers who followed the speech concluded that its content regarding Saudi Arabia's dilemma with Yemen reveals a deep strategic and moral gap between the official narrative trying to project a image of capability and deterrence, and the field where the narrowness of its options is exposed in front of a Yemeni force that has come to impose its equations steadily, with the grace of Allah Almighty.
According to observers, the speech attempted to paint a mental image of Riyadh as the party capable of "confronting threats" and "restoring stability," while brandishing a "decisive response and zero tolerance." However, this rhetorical display crumbles when considering the actual reality on the ground and what is monitored by Western and Hebrew reports, as it has come to groan under the weight of a naval blockade and is reducing its expenditure more and more every day due to the targeting and obstruction experienced by its oil sector.
In this context, the American newspaper The New York Times confirmed in one of its coverages that "Saudi Arabia finds itself trapped between the burdens of a costly and unresolved confrontation and an urgent desire to protect its economic projects, making its harsh military options merely an attempt to cover up strategic failure."
The core secret of this confrontation lies in the fact that Yemen is filled with faith, possesses a just national and sovereign cause, and defends its land and dignity. Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia lacks a legitimate motive, making all its arms displays a mere superficial appearance that achieves no deterrence. This is reflected in begging and calling for help from Western allies, recruiting mercenaries, and coordinating with Zionist Entity. Yemen's possession of a cause has created a cohesive fighting doctrine, alongside a popular and military response capable of innovation and persistence despite blockade and aggression. Conversely, Saudi Regime stands as an aggressor lacking cause justice and moral cover, which is directly reflected in the fragility of its field performance and defensive choices.
Defense Systems Do Not Provide Security
The dimensions of this dilemma are evident in what Western media revealed, dissecting Saudi claims and exposing the extent of ongoing attrition. The American magazine Forbes confirmed in a report that escalating Yemeni tactics and attacks have led to "a decline in Patriot stockpiles and exacerbated pressure on Saudi Arabia," forcing Riyadh to seek help from its allies to bolster its air capabilities and plug major defensive gaps caused by Yemeni missiles and drones deep within its installations.
This attrition was not limited to interceptor systems; it extended to Saudi bets on direct American protection. According to what was published by the American newspaper The Hill, Washington's support failed to force Yemen to back down, and "Yemeni force has already reached the occupied entity and its American and British protectors." the American magazine The National Interest reinforced this analysis by noting that "over-reliance on costly air defense technologies failed to provide comprehensive security, as low-cost drones and missiles demonstrated a high ability to penetrate the latest defenses, placing defenders in an unequal financial and military attrition equation."
Unprecedented Strategic Exposure
This field reality made American Administration realize the cost of direct engagement in a war against Yemen, raising doubts regarding the ability of any military intervention to alter the equation. This was summarized by recurring media coverage stating that "Washington is unprepared to fight a new war on behalf of Riyadh," leaving Saudi Arabia in unprecedented strategic exposure and prompting it to search for alternatives and makeshift solutions among European capitals.
Regarding European alternatives, the American magazine Foreign Policy explained that "Washington and its allies have come to realize the limits of using military force against Yemeni Forces, as airstrikes have failed to paralyze Yemeni arsenal or reduce its tactical audacity."
In the same context, French channel France 24 revealed persistent Saudi efforts to purchase military support from Paris, noting that a Saudi offer enticed France for support that buys enmity of Yemen. Channel clarified that these moves faced strong internal opposition, confirming that "parties object to sending French forces to participate in Saudi Arabia's war," considering that French alignment with Saudi Arabia buys enmity of Yemen and entangles Paris in a futile confrontation with a people possessing their land and cause, merely to serve a regime suffering due to its lack of ability to deter and achieve field victory.
Mercenaries and Suspicious Security Alliances
The bounds of Saudi dilemma did not stop at attempting to secure Western air and naval cover; they reached the point of dreading direct ground confrontation with men of Yemen on southern borders. In this regard, the French platform Intelligence Online, specializing in intelligence affairs, exposed Saudi Arabia's pleas for foreign mercenary battalions out of fear of a ground invasion. The French platform explained that Riyadh—responding to "its fears of Yemeni Forces carrying out sudden ground operations targeting border cities"—initiated intensive moves to bring foreign mercenaries and reactivate recruitment networks from South America, extending to contracting Syrian fighters belonging to armed groups to deploy them as first defense lines.
Analysts view that a country claiming capability and military readiness resorting to hiring mercenaries to protect its borders represents glaring evidence of the collapse of self-defense doctrine. In the Saudi model, this stands as a practical admission that Riyadh forces do not possess the cause that enables them to withstand the power of Yemeni fighter.
The dimensions of this incapacity are confirmed, and the strategic dilemma deepens, by moving from hiring mercenaries to rushing toward building security and military understandings and coordinations with the Zionist entity. Hebrew Channel 14, close to Prime Minister of the occupation entity Netanyahu, revealed meetings between the latter and the entity officials with Saudi parties, confirming that the objective of the meeting was to discuss an alliance comprising Saudi and Zionist entities against Yemen. Zionist channel indicated that coordination addressed deploying and using the so-called "Iron Dome" system, which observers saw as an attempt to repair the reputation of fragmented Saudi air defenses and the failure to deal with Yemeni missiles and drones that succeeded in breaching the most formidable Western and American systems.
Regarding the fragility of this regional coordination, the Hebrew newspaper Haaretz noted that "talk of joint security arrangements to confront Yemeni capabilities collides with the reality of the growing naval and missile power of Yemenis, which has demonstrated high efficiency in bypassing advanced radar systems." Likewise, the British website Middle East Eye stressed that "gambling on external alliances or implicit agreements did not provide regional entities with required security cover against continuous military innovation of Yemeni side."
Undoubtedly, this coordination, whose behind-the-scenes details were leaked, expresses an unannounced acknowledgment of power and capability of Yemen. However, Hebrew media itself doubted the efficacy of these arrangements, emphasizing their rapid collapse in front of Yemeni firmness, as the Hebrew website Arab Expert stated that defense and coordination arrangements retain slender chances in the face of Yemeni determination.
Acknowledgment of Growing Yemeni Power
Acknowledging Yemeni capabilities stands as a strategic shift that has paralyzed naval and military calculations of Western and Zionist Coalition during past few years. Hebrew media outlets acknowledged an escalating, unprecedented state of terror within the occupation entity, given the awareness that Yemeni power is growing.
In this context, the newspaper Wall Street Journal stated in an analysis that "continuous naval attacks and Yemeni operations caused widespread disruption to international navigation and paralyzed the efficiency of Western security plans, demonstrating incapacity of Washington and its allies to impose a military solution or hold the decision on maritime corridor movement and protection of allied shipping."
This explicit Hebrew acknowledgment clarifies the reason behind Riyadh's panic; Saudi Regime realizes before anyone else that if American military capabilities and Israeli technologies are unable to protect their targets and interests against Yemeni pressure, self-deterrence claims marketed by Riyadh are nothing more than a verbal maneuver devoid of any field capability.
Hebrew media also exposed dimensions of cumulative failure of Saudi options, clarifying that several Zionist newspapers tracked new, firm American rejection of Saudi requests regarding expanding direct military intervention, deeming it an "American slap." Washington has come to realize that any new military rush against Yemen will deepen failure, increase losses in Red Sea and region, and fail to neutralize the striking power formed in the south of the Arabian Peninsula.
For its part, the British newspaper The Guardian confirmed that "dwindling military options for Riyadh and Washington in the face of Yemeni determination placed Western Coalition in an open strategic crisis, causing the battle for control and deterrence to retreat in favor of new equations imposed by the field."
Considering the vast amount of reports and testimonies issued by Western and Zionist media and intelligence in this regard, it is confirmed that the battle of Yemen is not a battle of armament or mobilizing allies, but rather a battle of will, doctrine, and cause. Official speeches issued from Riyadh are nothing but an instrument for internal consumption and covering up a distressed strategic reality where facts confirm that the owner of land and cause is the one holding rules of the game and achieving genuine field deterrence on ground.
Collapse of Traditional Deterrence Equation
Thus, the traditional narrative of Saudi deterrence has fallen in an irreparable manner. Persistent attempts to escape forward have only left Saudi reality more exposed and complicated. Panicked Saudi movements clearly demonstrate how it suffers from a "crisis of cause" and "incapacity of doctrine." Armies that lack right and sovereignty cannot restore prestige through imported arsenals or statements drafted in threatening language. Meanwhile, Yemen—by adhering to its just cause and inherent right to defend its land and sovereignty—has succeeded in shifting power balances and reshaping their map in the region, imposing new deterrence equations that puzzle Washington, Tel Aviv, and Western capitals before puzzling Riyadh.
Accordingly, the future does not seem to hold more than two options for Riyadh with no third alternative: either to continue denying reality and being squeezed between wheels of ongoing field attrition without achieving any real deterrence, or to submit to the new reality created by Yemeni steadfastness and recognize that true self-power is not acquired with money or mercenaries, but springs from possessing land, morals, and cause.
